![]() Southern California earthquake probabilities map shows how often scientists expect damaging earthquake shaking to occur (USGS, Public Domain). The national seismic hazard map shows how often scientists expect damaging earthquakes across the country. ![]() The information sums up the earthquake probabilities in the different regions of California. The earthquake probability calculator is based on the latest available information from seismic hazard data.Īlso, check out their National Hazard Maps. Many people ask, “what is the earthquake likelihood in my community?” The United States Geological Survey (USGS) has an online tool for determining the probability of a large earthquake within 31 miles of a specific location in the United States over a certain period of time. ![]() What is the earthquake likelihood at location X? While the probability of an earthquake in California is higher than most states, they do vary from region to region. The odds are good that if you live in California, you will experience an earthquake at some time. Scientists agree that there is more than a 99 percent chance of one or more major earthquakes striking California in the next 30 years.* No one in the Golden State is risk-free when it comes to earthquakes. Most Californians live within 30 miles of an active fault.More than 500 of those faults are categorized as active.There are 15,700 known faults in California.
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